CWT

CWT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($45.39)
DCF$-111.19-345.0%
Graham Number$38.12-16.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM$25.54-43.7%
EV/EBITDA$45.47+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$288.26M
Rev: -1.0% / EPS: -42.2%
Computed: 4.87%
Computed WACC: 4.87%
Cost of equity (Re)7.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.63 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)62.59%
Debt weight (D/V)37.41%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-261.05
Current Price$45.39
Upside / Downside-675.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.56B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-111.92$-129.24$-149.39$-172.71$-199.57
8.0%$-96.67$-110.62$-126.81$-145.53$-167.06
9.0%$-86.11$-97.72$-111.19$-126.73$-144.59
10.0%$-78.36$-88.26$-99.73$-112.95$-128.13
11.0%$-72.42$-81.03$-90.98$-102.43$-115.57

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.28
Yahoo: $28.33

Results

Graham Number$38.12
Current Price$45.39
Margin of Safety-16.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.87%
Computed WACC: 4.87%
Cost of equity (Re)7.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.63 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)62.59%
Debt weight (D/V)37.41%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$45.39
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-1.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-42.2%
Base FCF (TTM)-$288.26M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.24

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$25.54
Current Price$45.39
Upside / Downside-43.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $346.29M
Current: 12.3×
Default: $1.56B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$45.47
Current Price$45.39
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$4.27B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.56B$1.56B$1.56B$1.56B$1.56B
8.3x$22.23$22.23$22.23$22.23$22.23
10.3x$33.85$33.85$33.85$33.85$33.85
12.3x$45.47$45.47$45.47$45.47$45.47
14.3x$57.09$57.09$57.09$57.09$57.09
16.3x$68.72$68.72$68.72$68.72$68.72