CXT

CXT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($48.66)
DCF$90.80+86.6%
Graham Number$35.17-27.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 10.9%
DDM$14.83-69.5%
EV/EBITDA$48.75+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $152.55M
Rev: 19.5% / EPS: -18.0%
Computed: 8.11%
Computed WACC: 8.11%
Cost of equity (Re)11.62%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.33 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.79%
Debt weight (D/V)30.21%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$110.65
Current Price$48.66
Upside / Downside+127.4%
Net Debt (used)$975.90M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term11.5%15.5%19.5%23.5%27.5%
7.0%$100.31$121.77$146.33$174.32$206.09
8.0%$77.09$94.09$113.53$135.68$160.80
9.0%$61.11$75.05$90.99$109.12$129.68
10.0%$49.48$61.20$74.58$89.81$107.05
11.0%$40.65$50.69$62.14$75.16$89.91

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.52
Yahoo: $21.81

Results

Graham Number$35.17
Current Price$48.66
Margin of Safety-27.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.11%
Computed WACC: 8.11%
Cost of equity (Re)11.62%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.33 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.79%
Debt weight (D/V)30.21%

Results

Current Price$48.66
Implied Near-term FCF Growth8.2%
Historical Revenue Growth19.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-18.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$152.55M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.72

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$14.83
Current Price$48.66
Upside / Downside-69.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $392.90M
Current: 9.6×
Default: $975.90M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$48.75
Current Price$48.66
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$3.77B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.02B-$24.10M$975.90M$1.98B$2.98B
5.6x$56.21$38.79$21.38$3.96$-13.45
7.6x$69.89$52.48$35.06$17.65$0.23
9.6x$83.58$66.16$48.75$31.33$13.92
11.6x$97.26$79.85$62.43$45.02$27.60
13.6x$110.94$93.53$76.12$58.70$41.29