CZFS

CZFS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($60.71)
DCF$-55.86-192.0%
Graham Number$109.80+80.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM$41.20-32.1%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 11.1% / EPS: 31.0%
Computed: 3.22%
Computed WACC: 3.22%
Cost of equity (Re)6.67%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.43 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.21%
Debt weight (D/V)51.79%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-55.86
Current Price$60.71
Upside / Downside-192.0%
Net Debt (used)$268.51M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term23.0%27.0%31.0%35.0%39.0%
7.0%$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86
8.0%$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86
9.0%$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86
10.0%$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86
11.0%$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86$-55.86

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.62
Yahoo: $70.32

Results

Graham Number$109.80
Current Price$60.71
Margin of Safety+80.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.22%
Computed WACC: 3.22%
Cost of equity (Re)6.67%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.43 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.21%
Debt weight (D/V)51.79%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$60.71
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth11.1%
Historical Earnings Growth31.0%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$41.20
Current Price$60.71
Upside / Downside-32.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $268.51M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-55.86
Current Price$60.71
Upside / Downside-192.0%
Implied EV$0