CZNC

CZNC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($22.55)
DCF$-8.05-135.7%
Graham Number$25.10+11.3%
Reverse DCF
DDM$23.07+2.3%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 24.5% / EPS: -52.8%
Computed: 4.80%
Computed WACC: 4.80%
Cost of equity (Re)7.06%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.50 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.97%
Debt weight (D/V)32.03%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-8.05
Current Price$22.55
Upside / Downside-135.7%
Net Debt (used)$143.42M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term16.5%20.5%24.5%28.5%32.5%
7.0%$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05
8.0%$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05
9.0%$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05
10.0%$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05
11.0%$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05$-8.05

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.46
Yahoo: $19.17

Results

Graham Number$25.10
Current Price$22.55
Margin of Safety+11.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.80%
Computed WACC: 4.80%
Cost of equity (Re)7.06%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.50 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.97%
Debt weight (D/V)32.03%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$22.55
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth24.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-52.8%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.12

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$23.07
Current Price$22.55
Upside / Downside+2.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $143.42M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-8.05
Current Price$22.55
Upside / Downside-135.7%
Implied EV$0