D

D — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($63.05)
DCF$-30609381.40-48547889.7%
Graham Number$46.91-25.6%
Reverse DCF
DDM$55.00-12.8%
EV/EBITDA$71.12+12.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$9.01B
Rev: 20.4% / EPS: 365.5%
Computed: 6.04%
Computed WACC: 6.04%
Cost of equity (Re)8.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.72%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)51.77%
Debt weight (D/V)48.23%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-70869074.25
Current Price$63.05
Upside / Downside-112401486.6%
Net Debt (used)$49.89B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term357.5%361.5%365.5%369.5%373.5%
7.0%$-47395109.87$-49503519.47$-51686306.04$-53945420.28$-56282846.67
8.0%$-35866519.14$-37462058.12$-39113881.54$-40823465.57$-42592311.95
9.0%$-28092650.40$-29342354.98$-30636144.02$-31975173.69$-33360620.24
10.0%$-22554916.36$-23558265.37$-24597008.17$-25672073.01$-26784404.26
11.0%$-18450850.10$-19271623.04$-20121349.06$-21000787.50$-21910710.86

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.06
Yahoo: $31.96

Results

Graham Number$46.91
Current Price$63.05
Margin of Safety-25.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.04%
Computed WACC: 6.04%
Cost of equity (Re)8.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.72%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)51.77%
Debt weight (D/V)48.23%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$63.05
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth20.4%
Historical Earnings Growth365.5%
Base FCF (TTM)-$9.01B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.67

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$55.00
Current Price$63.05
Upside / Downside-12.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.11B
Current: 13.6×
Default: $49.89B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$71.12
Current Price$63.05
Upside / Downside+12.8%
Implied EV$110.63B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$25.89B$37.89B$49.89B$61.89B$73.89B
9.6x$61.24$47.18$33.13$19.08$5.02
11.6x$80.23$66.18$52.13$38.07$24.02
13.6x$99.23$85.18$71.12$57.07$43.02
15.6x$118.23$104.17$90.12$76.07$62.02
17.6x$137.22$123.17$109.12$95.07$81.01