DAN

DAN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($34.66)
DCF$24.34-29.8%
Graham Number$8.61-75.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.3%
DDM$9.89-71.5%
EV/EBITDA$33.65-2.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $327.00M
Rev: 5.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 11.11%
Computed WACC: 11.11%
Cost of equity (Re)15.77%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.31%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)53.33%
Debt weight (D/V)46.67%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$11.50
Current Price$34.66
Upside / Downside-66.8%
Net Debt (used)$3.08B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-2.8%1.2%5.2%9.2%13.2%
7.0%$24.85$35.39$47.66$61.86$78.21
8.0%$15.53$24.02$33.88$45.27$58.37
9.0%$9.08$16.15$24.34$33.80$44.66
10.0%$4.35$10.37$17.35$25.40$34.62
11.0%$0.72$5.96$12.01$18.98$26.96

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.44
Yahoo: $7.48

Results

Graham Number$8.61
Current Price$34.66
Margin of Safety-75.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.11%
Computed WACC: 11.11%
Cost of equity (Re)15.77%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.31%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)53.33%
Debt weight (D/V)46.67%

Results

Current Price$34.66
Implied Near-term FCF Growth13.7%
Historical Revenue Growth5.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$327.00M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$9.89
Current Price$34.66
Upside / Downside-71.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $554.00M
Current: 12.4×
Default: $3.08B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$33.65
Current Price$34.66
Upside / Downside-2.9%
Implied EV$6.85B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.07B$2.08B$3.08B$4.08B$5.08B
8.4x$31.73$22.82$13.92$5.01$-3.89
10.4x$41.59$32.69$23.79$14.88$5.98
12.4x$51.46$42.56$33.65$24.75$15.84
14.4x$61.33$52.42$43.52$34.61$25.71
16.4x$71.19$62.29$53.38$44.48$35.58