DDD

DDD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1.98)
DCF$-6.58-432.9%
Graham Number$1.25-36.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$49.39M
Rev: -19.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 10.74%
Computed WACC: 10.74%
Cost of equity (Re)17.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.89%
Debt weight (D/V)40.11%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5.31
Current Price$1.98
Upside / Downside-368.7%
Net Debt (used)$93.27M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-6.63$-7.84$-9.25$-10.88$-12.75
8.0%$-5.56$-6.54$-7.67$-8.98$-10.48
9.0%$-4.82$-5.63$-6.58$-7.66$-8.91
10.0%$-4.28$-4.97$-5.77$-6.70$-7.76
11.0%$-3.87$-4.47$-5.16$-5.96$-6.88

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.04
Yahoo: $1.72

Results

Graham Number$1.25
Current Price$1.98
Margin of Safety-36.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.74%
Computed WACC: 10.74%
Cost of equity (Re)17.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.89%
Debt weight (D/V)40.11%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$1.98
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-19.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$49.39M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$1.98
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$73.58M
Current: -4.9×
Default: $93.27M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.81
Current Price$1.98
Upside / Downside-8.2%
Implied EV$358.10M