DDOG

DDOG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($111.11)
DCF$196.24+76.6%
Graham Number$8.59-92.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 18.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$119.31+7.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $879.65M
Rev: 29.2% / EPS: -3.3%
Computed: 11.01%
Computed WACC: 11.01%
Cost of equity (Re)11.37%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.29 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.84%
Debt weight (D/V)3.16%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$143.67
Current Price$111.11
Upside / Downside+29.3%
Net Debt (used)-$3.20B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term21.2%25.2%29.2%33.2%37.2%
7.0%$220.74$256.67$297.41$343.43$395.23
8.0%$177.09$205.35$237.38$273.54$314.23
9.0%$147.16$170.17$196.24$225.65$258.73
10.0%$125.46$144.66$166.41$190.93$218.50
11.0%$109.05$125.38$143.87$164.71$188.12

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.31
Yahoo: $10.59

Results

Graham Number$8.59
Current Price$111.11
Margin of Safety-92.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.01%
Computed WACC: 11.01%
Cost of equity (Re)11.37%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.29 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)96.84%
Debt weight (D/V)3.16%

Results

Current Price$111.11
Implied Near-term FCF Growth24.0%
Historical Revenue Growth29.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-3.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$879.65M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$111.11
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $7.53M
Current: 4777.6×
Default: -$3.20B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$119.31
Current Price$111.11
Upside / Downside+7.4%
Implied EV$35.97B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$5.20B-$4.20B-$3.20B-$2.20B-$1.20B
4773.6x$125.31$122.26$119.22$116.17$113.13
4775.6x$125.36$122.31$119.26$116.22$113.17
4777.6x$125.40$122.36$119.31$116.26$113.22
4779.6x$125.45$122.40$119.36$116.31$113.26
4781.6x$125.49$122.45$119.40$116.35$113.31