DDS

DDS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($607.44)
DCF$803.06+32.2%
Graham Number$305.69-49.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -0.1%
DDM$24.72-95.9%
EV/EBITDA$816.58+34.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $501.88M
Rev: -3.0% / EPS: -3.1%
Computed: 10.86%
Computed WACC: 10.86%
Cost of equity (Re)11.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.31 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.44%
Debt weight (D/V)5.56%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$632.36
Current Price$607.44
Upside / Downside+4.1%
Net Debt (used)-$515.40M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$809.58$964.32$1144.35$1352.70$1592.68
8.0%$673.42$797.97$942.65$1109.87$1302.25
9.0%$579.07$682.78$803.06$941.91$1101.45
10.0%$509.81$598.28$700.74$818.87$954.43
11.0%$456.78$533.64$622.54$724.88$842.20

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $36.45
Yahoo: $113.94

Results

Graham Number$305.69
Current Price$607.44
Margin of Safety-49.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.86%
Computed WACC: 10.86%
Cost of equity (Re)11.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.31 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.44%
Debt weight (D/V)5.56%

Results

Current Price$607.44
Implied Near-term FCF Growth4.2%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-3.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$501.88M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.72
Current Price$607.44
Upside / Downside-95.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $868.00M
Current: 10.3×
Default: -$515.40M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$816.58
Current Price$607.44
Upside / Downside+34.4%
Implied EV$8.97B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.52B-$1.52B-$515.40M$484.60M$1.48B
6.3x$689.83$603.73$517.62$431.52$345.42
8.3x$839.31$753.21$667.10$581.00$494.89
10.3x$988.79$902.69$816.58$730.48$644.37
12.3x$1138.27$1052.16$966.06$879.95$793.85
14.3x$1287.75$1201.64$1115.54$1029.43$943.33