DEO

DEO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($89.50)
DCF$-7.94-108.9%
Graham Number$22.26-75.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 29.7%
DDM$85.28-4.7%
EV/EBITDA$361.70+304.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.01B
Rev: -4.0% / EPS: 2.9%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-7.94
Current Price$89.50
Upside / Downside-108.9%
Net Debt (used)$22.08B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-7.67$-1.19$6.35$15.08$25.13
8.0%$-13.37$-8.16$-2.10$4.91$12.97
9.0%$-17.33$-12.98$-7.94$-2.13$4.56
10.0%$-20.23$-16.52$-12.23$-7.28$-1.60
11.0%$-22.45$-19.23$-15.50$-11.22$-6.30

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.22
Yahoo: $5.22

Results

Graham Number$22.26
Current Price$89.50
Margin of Safety-75.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$89.50
Implied Near-term FCF Growth29.7%
Historical Revenue Growth-4.0%
Historical Earnings Growth2.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.01B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.14

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$85.28
Current Price$89.50
Upside / Downside-4.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.26B
Current: 35.6×
Default: $22.08B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$361.70
Current Price$89.50
Upside / Downside+304.1%
Implied EV$223.13B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$10.08B$16.08B$22.08B$28.08B$34.08B
31.6x$338.22$327.43$316.64$305.84$295.05
33.6x$360.75$349.96$339.17$328.37$317.58
35.6x$383.29$372.49$361.70$350.90$340.11
37.6x$405.82$395.02$384.23$373.43$362.64
39.6x$428.35$417.55$406.76$395.96$385.17