DGICB

DGICB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($16.69)
DCF$5.47-67.2%
Graham Number$29.22+75.1%
Reverse DCF
DDM$13.60-18.5%
EV/EBITDA$110.10+559.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -3.9% / EPS: -33.3%
Computed: 4.22%
Computed WACC: 4.22%
Cost of equity (Re)4.32%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.00 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)2.70%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.39%
Debt weight (D/V)4.61%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$5.47
Current Price$16.69
Upside / Downside-67.2%
Net Debt (used)-$30.50M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$5.47$5.47$5.47$5.47$5.47
8.0%$5.47$5.47$5.47$5.47$5.47
9.0%$5.47$5.47$5.47$5.47$5.47
10.0%$5.47$5.47$5.47$5.47$5.47
11.0%$5.47$5.47$5.47$5.47$5.47

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.18
Yahoo: $17.41

Results

Graham Number$29.22
Current Price$16.69
Margin of Safety+75.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.22%
Computed WACC: 4.22%
Cost of equity (Re)4.32%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.00 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)2.70%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.39%
Debt weight (D/V)4.61%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$16.69
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-3.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-33.3%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.66

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$13.60
Current Price$16.69
Upside / Downside-18.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $102.48M
Current: 5.7×
Default: -$30.50M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$110.10
Current Price$16.69
Upside / Downside+559.7%
Implied EV$583.50M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.03B-$1.03B-$30.50M$969.50M$1.97B
1.7x$395.23$215.91$36.60$-142.72$-322.03
3.7x$431.98$252.66$73.35$-105.97$-285.28
5.7x$468.73$289.42$110.10$-69.21$-248.53
7.7x$505.48$326.17$146.85$-32.46$-211.78
9.7x$542.23$362.92$183.60$4.29$-175.03