DIS

DIS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($106.04)
DCF$8.71-91.8%
Graham Number$96.60-8.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 29.8%
DDM$30.90-70.9%
EV/EBITDA$109.17+2.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.17B
Rev: 5.2% / EPS: -4.3%
Computed: 9.70%
Computed WACC: 9.70%
Cost of equity (Re)12.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.42 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)80.13%
Debt weight (D/V)19.87%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$5.57
Current Price$106.04
Upside / Downside-94.7%
Net Debt (used)$40.96B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-2.8%1.2%5.2%9.2%13.2%
7.0%$9.02$15.51$23.06$31.80$41.86
8.0%$3.29$8.51$14.58$21.59$29.65
9.0%$-0.68$3.67$8.71$14.53$21.21
10.0%$-3.60$0.11$4.41$9.36$15.04
11.0%$-5.83$-2.61$1.12$5.41$10.32

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.79
Yahoo: $61.08

Results

Graham Number$96.60
Current Price$106.04
Margin of Safety-8.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.70%
Computed WACC: 9.70%
Cost of equity (Re)12.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.42 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)80.13%
Debt weight (D/V)19.87%

Results

Current Price$106.04
Implied Near-term FCF Growth32.2%
Historical Revenue Growth5.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-4.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$3.17B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.50

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$30.90
Current Price$106.04
Upside / Downside-70.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $19.31B
Current: 12.1×
Default: $40.96B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$109.17
Current Price$106.04
Upside / Downside+2.9%
Implied EV$234.36B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$20.96B$30.96B$40.96B$50.96B$60.96B
8.1x$76.87$71.22$65.58$59.93$54.29
10.1x$98.66$93.02$87.37$81.73$76.08
12.1x$120.46$114.81$109.17$103.52$97.88
14.1x$142.25$136.61$130.96$125.32$119.67
16.1x$164.05$158.40$152.76$147.12$141.47