DLTR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($118.47)
DCF	$167.07	+41.0%
Graham Number	$45.24	-61.8%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 5.9%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$119.89	+1.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $1.65B

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 9.4% / EPS: 10.6%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 6.16%

Computed WACC: 6.16%

Cost of equity (Re)8.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)75.93%

Debt weight (D/V)24.07%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$336.01

Current Price$118.47

Upside / Downside+183.6%

Net Debt (used)$7.06B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	2.6%	6.6%	10.6%	14.6%	18.6%
7.0%	$175.16	$216.21	$263.66	$318.24	$380.73
8.0%	$135.80	$168.62	$206.50	$250.04	$299.84
9.0%	$108.62	$135.76	$167.07	$203.00	$244.07
10.0%	$88.73	$111.75	$138.25	$168.65	$203.35
11.0%	$73.57	$93.44	$116.31	$142.50	$172.37

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $5.27

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $17.26

Results

Graham Number$45.24

Current Price$118.47

Margin of Safety-61.8%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 6.16%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 6.16%

Cost of equity (Re)8.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)75.93%

Debt weight (D/V)24.07%

Results

Current Price$118.47

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-3.1%

Historical Revenue Growth9.4%

Historical Earnings Growth10.6%

Base FCF (TTM)$1.65B

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$118.47

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $2.14B

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 14.4×

Net Debt($B)Default: $7.06B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$119.89

Current Price$118.47

Upside / Downside+1.2%

Implied EV$30.90B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$3.06B	$5.06B	$7.06B	$9.06B	$11.06B
10.4x	$96.96	$86.90	$76.84	$66.79	$56.73
12.4x	$118.48	$108.42	$98.36	$88.31	$78.25
14.4x	$140.00	$129.94	$119.89	$109.83	$99.77
16.4x	$161.52	$151.46	$141.41	$131.35	$121.29
18.4x	$183.04	$172.98	$162.93	$152.87	$142.81

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