DOC

DOC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($17.57)
DCF$52127198653682.09+296767427575659.1%
Graham Number$4.93-71.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 6.2%
DDM$25.13+43.1%
EV/EBITDA$18.83+7.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.16B
Rev: 3.1% / EPS: 2448.4%
Computed: 6.85%
Computed WACC: 6.85%
Cost of equity (Re)10.39%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.11 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.29%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)54.62%
Debt weight (D/V)45.38%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$93022612317358.27
Current Price$17.57
Upside / Downside+529590733375124.9%
Net Debt (used)$9.67B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2440.4%2444.4%2448.4%2452.4%2456.4%
7.0%$87419449751462.91$88109854230579.42$88804613870779.22$89503749244335.80$90207280988205.14
8.0%$65834726616105.20$66354663429359.63$66877880071529.61$67404392035391.66$67934214862434.08
9.0%$51314124625059.78$51719383426805.64$52127198653682.09$52537582381356.56$52950546723464.34
10.0%$40996885437582.73$41320662736364.99$41646482464378.66$41974354269352.44$42304287829349.06
11.0%$33371704186129.58$33635260798216.38$33900479959624.68$34167369523661.99$34435937368327.89

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.10
Yahoo: $10.79

Results

Graham Number$4.93
Current Price$17.57
Margin of Safety-71.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.85%
Computed WACC: 6.85%
Cost of equity (Re)10.39%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.11 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.29%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)54.62%
Debt weight (D/V)45.38%

Results

Current Price$17.57
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-0.3%
Historical Revenue Growth3.1%
Historical Earnings Growth2448.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.16B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.22

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$25.13
Current Price$17.57
Upside / Downside+43.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.56B
Current: 14.6×
Default: $9.67B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$18.83
Current Price$17.57
Upside / Downside+7.2%
Implied EV$22.76B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.67B$7.67B$9.67B$11.67B$13.67B
10.6x$15.64$12.76$9.88$7.00$4.13
12.6x$20.11$17.24$14.36$11.48$8.60
14.6x$24.59$21.71$18.83$15.96$13.08
16.6x$29.07$26.19$23.31$20.43$17.56
18.6x$33.54$30.67$27.79$24.91$22.03