DOUG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($2.30)
DCF	$4.39	+90.9%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: -6.0%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $22.13M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -1.3% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 8.34%

Computed WACC: 8.34%

Cost of equity (Re)14.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.80 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)58.85%

Debt weight (D/V)41.15%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4.89

Current Price$2.30

Upside / Downside+112.6%

Net Debt (used)-$1.39M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$4.43	$5.32	$6.36	$7.56	$8.94
8.0%	$3.64	$4.36	$5.19	$6.16	$7.27
9.0%	$3.10	$3.70	$4.39	$5.19	$6.11
10.0%	$2.70	$3.21	$3.80	$4.48	$5.26
11.0%	$2.39	$2.84	$3.35	$3.94	$4.62

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.70

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.29

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$2.30

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 8.34%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 8.34%

Cost of equity (Re)14.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.80 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)58.85%

Debt weight (D/V)41.15%

Results

Current Price$2.30

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-7.6%

Historical Revenue Growth-1.3%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$22.13M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$2.30

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$15.78M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -12.8×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$1.39M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.30

Current Price$2.30

Upside / Downside-0.1%

Implied EV$202.63M

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