DPZ

DPZ — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($401.37)
DCF$957.01+138.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 17.6%
DDM$163.98-59.1%
EV/EBITDA$434.30+8.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $508.72M
Rev: 3.1% / EPS: 30.1%
Computed: 9.97%
Computed WACC: 9.97%
Cost of equity (Re)10.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)10.21%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)71.81%
Debt weight (D/V)28.19%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$782.44
Current Price$401.37
Upside / Downside+94.9%
Net Debt (used)$5.00B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term22.1%26.1%30.1%34.1%38.1%
7.0%$1104.29$1316.25$1556.39$1827.44$2132.31
8.0%$844.24$1010.87$1199.55$1412.42$1651.77
9.0%$666.02$801.61$955.08$1128.14$1322.63
10.0%$536.76$649.88$777.84$922.08$1084.11
11.0%$439.09$535.25$643.98$766.47$904.02

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $17.58
Yahoo: $-112.88

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$401.37
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.97%
Computed WACC: 9.97%
Cost of equity (Re)10.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)10.21%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)71.81%
Debt weight (D/V)28.19%

Results

Current Price$401.37
Implied Near-term FCF Growth20.4%
Historical Revenue Growth3.1%
Historical Earnings Growth30.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$508.72M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $7.96

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$163.98
Current Price$401.37
Upside / Downside-59.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.01B
Current: 19.4×
Default: $5.00B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$434.30
Current Price$401.37
Upside / Downside+8.2%
Implied EV$19.61B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.00B$4.00B$5.00B$6.00B$7.00B
15.4x$373.73$344.00$314.26$284.52$254.79
17.4x$433.75$404.01$374.28$344.54$314.81
19.4x$493.77$464.03$434.30$404.56$374.82
21.4x$553.79$524.05$494.32$464.58$434.84
23.4x$613.81$584.07$554.33$524.60$494.86