DXCM

DXCM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($73.78)
DCF$1446.11+1860.0%
Graham Number$18.36-75.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 18.6%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$73.78-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $719.54M
Rev: 13.1% / EPS: 78.0%
Computed: 11.94%
Computed WACC: 11.94%
Cost of equity (Re)12.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.49 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.02%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.37%
Debt weight (D/V)4.63%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$847.63
Current Price$73.78
Upside / Downside+1048.9%
Net Debt (used)-$602.30M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term70.0%74.0%78.0%82.0%86.0%
7.0%$1864.45$2092.82$2343.12$2616.87$2915.69
8.0%$1440.06$1616.13$1809.09$2020.11$2250.45
9.0%$1151.59$1292.12$1446.11$1614.51$1798.30
10.0%$944.28$1059.27$1185.27$1323.04$1473.40
11.0%$789.16$885.06$990.12$1104.99$1230.34

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.10
Yahoo: $7.14

Results

Graham Number$18.36
Current Price$73.78
Margin of Safety-75.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.94%
Computed WACC: 11.94%
Cost of equity (Re)12.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.49 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.02%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.37%
Debt weight (D/V)4.63%

Results

Current Price$73.78
Implied Near-term FCF Growth26.8%
Historical Revenue Growth13.1%
Historical Earnings Growth78.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$719.54M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$73.78
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.16B
Current: 23.9×
Default: -$602.30M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$73.78
Current Price$73.78
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$27.79B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.60B-$1.60B-$602.30M$397.70M$1.40B
19.9x$66.88$64.28$61.69$59.09$56.49
21.9x$72.93$70.33$67.73$65.13$62.54
23.9x$78.98$76.38$73.78$71.18$68.58
25.9x$85.02$82.42$79.83$77.23$74.63
27.9x$91.07$88.47$85.87$83.27$80.68