ECC

ECC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.13)
DCF$7.21+74.6%
Graham Number$5.47+32.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -1.4%
DDM$29.66+618.3%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $73.18M
Rev: 3.3% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$7.21
Current Price$4.13
Upside / Downside+74.6%
Net Debt (used)$341.59M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$7.29$9.30$11.63$14.32$17.43
8.0%$5.53$7.14$9.02$11.18$13.67
9.0%$4.31$5.65$7.21$9.01$11.07
10.0%$3.41$4.56$5.88$7.41$9.17
11.0%$2.73$3.72$4.87$6.20$7.72

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.19
Yahoo: $7.00

Results

Graham Number$5.47
Current Price$4.13
Margin of Safety+32.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$4.13
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-1.4%
Historical Revenue Growth3.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$73.18M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.44

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$29.66
Current Price$4.13
Upside / Downside+618.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $341.59M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-2.61
Current Price$4.13
Upside / Downside-163.2%
Implied EV$0