EFC

EFC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.32)
DCF$-130.12-1156.1%
Graham Number$19.86+61.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$32.14+160.8%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -9.3% / EPS: -45.3%
Computed: 2.08%
Computed WACC: 2.08%
Cost of equity (Re)9.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.94 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.79%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)8.28%
Debt weight (D/V)91.72%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$12.32
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$16.22B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12
8.0%$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12
9.0%$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12
10.0%$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12
11.0%$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12$-130.12

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.32
Yahoo: $13.28

Results

Graham Number$19.86
Current Price$12.32
Margin of Safety+61.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.08%
Computed WACC: 2.08%
Cost of equity (Re)9.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.94 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.79%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)8.28%
Debt weight (D/V)91.72%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$12.32
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-9.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-45.3%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$32.14
Current Price$12.32
Upside / Downside+160.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $16.22B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-130.12
Current Price$12.32
Upside / Downside-1156.1%
Implied EV$0