EGY

EGY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($5.28)
DCF$-8.52-261.5%
Graham Number$5.43+2.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM$5.15-2.4%
EV/EBITDA$5.21-1.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$43.55M
Rev: -56.5% / EPS: -90.0%
Computed: 4.66%
Computed WACC: 4.66%
Cost of equity (Re)5.91%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.29 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.82%
Debt weight (D/V)21.18%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-23.44
Current Price$5.28
Upside / Downside-544.4%
Net Debt (used)$123.76M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-8.58$-10.08$-11.82$-13.83$-16.15
8.0%$-7.27$-8.47$-9.87$-11.49$-13.35
9.0%$-6.36$-7.36$-8.52$-9.86$-11.41
10.0%$-5.69$-6.54$-7.53$-8.67$-9.98
11.0%$-5.17$-5.92$-6.78$-7.77$-8.90

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.27
Yahoo: $4.85

Results

Graham Number$5.43
Current Price$5.28
Margin of Safety+2.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.66%
Computed WACC: 4.66%
Cost of equity (Re)5.91%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.29 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.82%
Debt weight (D/V)21.18%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$5.28
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-56.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-90.0%
Base FCF (TTM)-$43.55M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.25

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$5.15
Current Price$5.28
Upside / Downside-2.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $197.83M
Current: 3.4×
Default: $123.76M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.21
Current Price$5.28
Upside / Downside-1.2%
Implied EV$666.89M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.88B-$876.24M$123.76M$1.12B$2.12B
-0.6x$16.80$7.21$-2.38$-11.97$-21.56
1.4x$20.60$11.01$1.41$-8.18$-17.77
3.4x$24.39$14.80$5.21$-4.38$-13.97
5.4x$28.19$18.60$9.00$-0.59$-10.18
7.4x$31.98$22.39$12.80$3.21$-6.38