ELME

ELME — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($2.14)
DCF$11.39+432.1%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -6.1%
DDM$14.83+593.1%
EV/EBITDA$2.13-0.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $97.67M
Rev: 1.7% / EPS: —
Computed: 2.56%
Computed WACC: 2.56%
Cost of equity (Re)8.63%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.79 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.19%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)21.14%
Debt weight (D/V)78.86%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2109.06
Current Price$2.14
Upside / Downside+98454.4%
Net Debt (used)$702.56M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$11.55$15.49$20.06$25.36$31.46
8.0%$8.09$11.26$14.93$19.19$24.08
9.0%$5.69$8.33$11.39$14.92$18.97
10.0%$3.93$6.18$8.78$11.79$15.23
11.0%$2.58$4.54$6.80$9.40$12.38

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.53
Yahoo: $10.31

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$2.14
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.56%
Computed WACC: 2.56%
Cost of equity (Re)8.63%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.79 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.19%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)21.14%
Debt weight (D/V)78.86%

Results

Current Price$2.14
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth1.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$97.67M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.72

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$14.83
Current Price$2.14
Upside / Downside+593.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $109.16M
Current: 8.2×
Default: $702.56M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.13
Current Price$2.14
Upside / Downside-0.7%
Implied EV$891.52M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.30B-$297.44M$702.56M$1.70B$2.70B
4.2x$19.71$8.46$-2.79$-14.03$-25.28
6.2x$22.17$10.92$-0.33$-11.58$-22.83
8.2x$24.62$13.37$2.13$-9.12$-20.37
10.2x$27.08$15.83$4.58$-6.67$-17.92
12.2x$29.53$18.29$7.04$-4.21$-15.46