ELS

ELS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($68.37)
DCF$22.67-66.8%
Graham Number$20.24-70.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 18.2%
DDM$44.70-34.6%
EV/EBITDA$68.67+0.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $440.62M
Rev: 0.5% / EPS: 3.2%
Computed: 7.48%
Computed WACC: 7.48%
Cost of equity (Re)8.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.00%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)80.36%
Debt weight (D/V)19.64%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$34.99
Current Price$68.37
Upside / Downside-48.8%
Net Debt (used)$3.34B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$23.01$31.15$40.61$51.57$64.18
8.0%$15.85$22.40$30.01$38.80$48.91
9.0%$10.89$16.34$22.67$29.97$38.36
10.0%$7.25$11.90$17.29$23.50$30.63
11.0%$4.46$8.50$13.18$18.56$24.72

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.01
Yahoo: $9.06

Results

Graham Number$20.24
Current Price$68.37
Margin of Safety-70.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.48%
Computed WACC: 7.48%
Cost of equity (Re)8.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.00%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)80.36%
Debt weight (D/V)19.64%

Results

Current Price$68.37
Implied Near-term FCF Growth13.2%
Historical Revenue Growth0.5%
Historical Earnings Growth3.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$440.62M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.17

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$44.70
Current Price$68.37
Upside / Downside-34.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $742.98M
Current: 22.4×
Default: $3.34B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$68.67
Current Price$68.37
Upside / Downside+0.4%
Implied EV$16.66B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.34B$2.34B$3.34B$4.34B$5.34B
18.4x$63.66$58.50$53.35$48.19$43.03
20.4x$71.32$66.16$61.01$55.85$50.69
22.4x$78.98$73.83$68.67$63.51$58.36
24.4x$86.65$81.49$76.33$71.18$66.02
26.4x$94.31$89.15$83.99$78.84$73.68