ENPH

ENPH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($44.71)
DCF$7.09-84.1%
Graham Number$15.51-65.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 43.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$44.71+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $37.60M
Rev: -10.3% / EPS: -36.4%
Computed: 9.77%
Computed WACC: 9.77%
Cost of equity (Re)11.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.37 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.49%
Debt weight (D/V)17.51%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$6.55
Current Price$44.71
Upside / Downside-85.4%
Net Debt (used)-$269.07M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$7.13$8.16$9.35$10.74$12.33
8.0%$6.23$7.05$8.01$9.12$10.40
9.0%$5.60$6.29$7.09$8.01$9.07
10.0%$5.14$5.73$6.41$7.19$8.09
11.0%$4.79$5.30$5.89$6.57$7.35

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.29
Yahoo: $8.29

Results

Graham Number$15.51
Current Price$44.71
Margin of Safety-65.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.77%
Computed WACC: 9.77%
Cost of equity (Re)11.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.37 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.49%
Debt weight (D/V)17.51%

Results

Current Price$44.71
Implied Near-term FCF Growth46.4%
Historical Revenue Growth-10.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-36.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$37.60M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$44.71
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $238.90M
Current: 23.4×
Default: -$269.07M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$44.71
Current Price$44.71
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$5.59B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.27B-$1.27B-$269.07M$730.93M$1.73B
19.4x$52.68$45.05$37.42$29.79$22.17
21.4x$56.32$48.69$41.07$33.44$25.81
23.4x$59.97$52.34$44.71$37.08$29.45
25.4x$63.61$55.98$48.36$40.73$33.10
27.4x$67.26$59.63$52.00$44.37$36.74