EOG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($128.65)
DCF	$65.46	-49.1%
Graham Number	$106.70	-17.1%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 15.4%
DDM	$84.05	-34.7%
EV/EBITDA	$128.66	+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $2.33B

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 0.0% / EPS: -41.7%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 6.23%

Computed WACC: 6.23%

Cost of equity (Re)6.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.43 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)3.88%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)88.43%

Debt weight (D/V)11.57%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$122.71

Current Price$128.65

Upside / Downside-4.6%

Net Debt (used)$5.74B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$66.11	$81.65	$99.72	$120.63	$144.72
8.0%	$52.45	$64.95	$79.47	$96.26	$115.57
9.0%	$42.98	$53.39	$65.46	$79.40	$95.41
10.0%	$36.02	$44.90	$55.19	$67.05	$80.65
11.0%	$30.70	$38.42	$47.34	$57.61	$69.39

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $9.12

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $55.49

Results

Graham Number$106.70

Current Price$128.65

Margin of Safety-17.1%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 6.23%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 6.23%

Cost of equity (Re)6.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.43 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)3.88%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)88.43%

Debt weight (D/V)11.57%

Results

Current Price$128.65

Implied Near-term FCF Growth5.7%

Historical Revenue Growth0.0%

Historical Earnings Growth-41.7%

Base FCF (TTM)$2.33B

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $4.08

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$84.05

Current Price$128.65

Upside / Downside-34.7%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $11.72B

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 6.4×

Net Debt($B)Default: $5.74B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$128.66

Current Price$128.65

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$74.76B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$3.74B	$4.74B	$5.74B	$6.74B	$7.74B
2.4x	$44.98	$43.11	$41.25	$39.38	$37.52
4.4x	$88.68	$86.82	$84.95	$83.09	$81.23
6.4x	$132.39	$130.52	$128.66	$126.80	$124.93
8.4x	$176.09	$174.23	$172.37	$170.50	$168.64
10.4x	$219.80	$217.94	$216.07	$214.21	$212.34

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