EPM

EPM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.57)
DCF$-4.71-203.1%
Graham Number$1.89-58.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM$9.89+116.6%
EV/EBITDA$4.45-2.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$6.47M
Rev: 2.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 4.51%
Computed WACC: 4.51%
Cost of equity (Re)6.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.32 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.41%
Debt weight (D/V)25.59%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-12.05
Current Price$4.57
Upside / Downside-363.9%
Net Debt (used)$51.19M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-4.73$-5.40$-6.17$-7.06$-8.08
8.0%$-4.15$-4.68$-5.30$-6.02$-6.84
9.0%$-3.75$-4.19$-4.71$-5.30$-5.98
10.0%$-3.45$-3.83$-4.27$-4.77$-5.35
11.0%$-3.23$-3.55$-3.93$-4.37$-4.87

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.08
Yahoo: $1.98

Results

Graham Number$1.89
Current Price$4.57
Margin of Safety-58.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.51%
Computed WACC: 4.51%
Cost of equity (Re)6.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.32 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.41%
Debt weight (D/V)25.59%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$4.57
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth2.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$6.47M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$9.89
Current Price$4.57
Upside / Downside+116.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $30.52M
Current: 6.8×
Default: $51.19M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.45
Current Price$4.57
Upside / Downside-2.6%
Implied EV$206.80M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.95B-$948.81M$51.19M$1.05B$2.05B
2.8x$58.09$29.53$0.96$-27.61$-56.18
4.8x$59.84$31.27$2.70$-25.87$-54.44
6.8x$61.58$33.01$4.45$-24.12$-52.69
8.8x$63.33$34.76$6.19$-22.38$-50.95
10.8x$65.07$36.50$7.93$-20.63$-49.20