EPR-PG

EPR-PG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($20.94)
DCF$37.59+79.5%
Graham Number$32.28+54.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 1.0%
DDM$29.66+41.7%
EV/EBITDA$21.59+3.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $332.53M
Rev: 3.9% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.26%
Computed WACC: 7.26%
Cost of equity (Re)9.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.96 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.60%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)61.15%
Debt weight (D/V)38.85%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$66.65
Current Price$20.94
Upside / Downside+218.3%
Net Debt (used)$3.04B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$38.27$54.29$72.92$94.49$119.33
8.0%$24.17$37.07$52.04$69.35$89.26
9.0%$14.41$25.14$37.59$51.97$68.48
10.0%$7.24$16.40$27.00$39.23$53.26
11.0%$1.75$9.71$18.91$29.50$41.64

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.51
Yahoo: $30.59

Results

Graham Number$32.28
Current Price$20.94
Margin of Safety+54.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.26%
Computed WACC: 7.26%
Cost of equity (Re)9.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.96 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.60%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)61.15%
Debt weight (D/V)38.85%

Results

Current Price$20.94
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-3.9%
Historical Revenue Growth3.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$332.53M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.44

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$29.66
Current Price$20.94
Upside / Downside+41.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $549.88M
Current: 8.5×
Default: $3.04B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$21.59
Current Price$20.94
Upside / Downside+3.1%
Implied EV$4.65B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.04B$2.04B$3.04B$4.04B$5.04B
4.5x$18.91$5.46$-7.99$-21.45$-34.90
6.5x$33.70$20.25$6.80$-6.65$-20.10
8.5x$48.50$35.05$21.59$8.14$-5.31
10.5x$63.29$49.84$36.39$22.94$9.49
12.5x$78.09$64.64$51.18$37.73$24.28