ES

ES — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($74.42)
DCF$35271534.41+47395135.7%
Graham Number$66.53-10.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 30.9%
DDM$64.89-12.8%
EV/EBITDA$74.83+0.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $761.49M
Rev: 13.4% / EPS: 466.2%
Computed: 4.16%
Computed WACC: 4.16%
Cost of equity (Re)8.66%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.79 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.02%
Debt weight (D/V)51.98%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$203469390.56
Current Price$74.42
Upside / Downside+273406767.2%
Net Debt (used)$30.11B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term458.2%462.2%466.2%470.2%474.2%
7.0%$55559731.31$57579127.20$59656819.03$61794059.95$63992120.95
8.0%$41992421.89$43518692.15$45089022.71$46704360.70$48365666.73
9.0%$32849178.61$34043123.18$35271534.41$36535153.21$37834731.02
10.0%$26340140.96$27297504.36$28282504.75$29295736.22$30337801.33
11.0%$21519552.97$22301704.65$23106435.29$23934230.24$24785581.77

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.56
Yahoo: $43.15

Results

Graham Number$66.53
Current Price$74.42
Margin of Safety-10.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.16%
Computed WACC: 4.16%
Cost of equity (Re)8.66%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.79 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.02%
Debt weight (D/V)51.98%

Results

Current Price$74.42
Implied Near-term FCF Growth6.4%
Historical Revenue Growth13.4%
Historical Earnings Growth466.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$761.49M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.15

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$64.89
Current Price$74.42
Upside / Downside-12.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.70B
Current: 12.4×
Default: $30.11B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$74.83
Current Price$74.42
Upside / Downside+0.6%
Implied EV$58.21B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$14.11B$22.11B$30.11B$38.11B$46.11B
8.4x$67.41$46.11$24.80$3.50$-17.81
10.4x$92.43$71.12$49.82$28.51$7.21
12.4x$117.44$96.14$74.83$53.53$32.22
14.4x$142.46$121.15$99.85$78.54$57.24
16.4x$167.47$146.17$124.86$103.56$82.25