ESE

ESE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($285.79)
DCF$281.12-1.6%
Graham Number$80.68-71.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 9.1%
DDM$6.59-97.7%
EV/EBITDA$285.79-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $339.68M
Rev: 8.8% / EPS: -10.0%
Computed: 10.88%
Computed WACC: 10.88%
Cost of equity (Re)10.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.21 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)11.36%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.05%
Debt weight (D/V)2.95%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$213.44
Current Price$285.79
Upside / Downside-25.3%
Net Debt (used)$168.99M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term0.8%4.8%8.8%12.8%16.8%
7.0%$289.76$348.20$415.89$493.90$583.39
8.0%$235.20$282.02$336.17$398.51$469.96
9.0%$197.48$236.29$281.12$332.67$391.69
10.0%$169.86$202.82$240.85$284.54$334.50
11.0%$148.77$177.29$210.15$247.86$290.93

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.80
Yahoo: $60.27

Results

Graham Number$80.68
Current Price$285.79
Margin of Safety-71.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.88%
Computed WACC: 10.88%
Cost of equity (Re)10.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.21 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)11.36%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.05%
Debt weight (D/V)2.95%

Results

Current Price$285.79
Implied Near-term FCF Growth13.9%
Historical Revenue Growth8.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-10.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$339.68M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.32

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$6.59
Current Price$285.79
Upside / Downside-97.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $272.64M
Current: 27.8×
Default: $168.99M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$285.79
Current Price$285.79
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$7.57B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.83B-$831.01M$168.99M$1.17B$2.17B
23.8x$320.91$282.29$243.67$205.06$166.44
25.8x$341.96$303.35$264.73$226.11$187.50
27.8x$363.02$324.40$285.79$247.17$208.56
29.8x$384.08$345.46$306.84$268.23$229.61
31.8x$405.13$366.52$327.90$289.29$250.67