ESI

ESI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($34.68)
DCF$24.84-28.4%
Graham Number$13.99-59.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 13.3%
DDM$6.59-81.0%
EV/EBITDA$34.74+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $335.60M
Rev: 8.3% / EPS: -88.8%
Computed: 9.28%
Computed WACC: 9.28%
Cost of equity (Re)11.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.25 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.06%
Debt weight (D/V)16.94%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$23.62
Current Price$34.68
Upside / Downside-31.9%
Net Debt (used)$1.10B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term0.3%4.3%8.3%12.3%16.3%
7.0%$25.70$31.68$38.60$46.59$55.76
8.0%$20.16$24.95$30.49$36.88$44.20
9.0%$16.33$20.30$24.89$30.18$36.23
10.0%$13.52$16.90$20.79$25.27$30.40
11.0%$11.38$14.30$17.67$21.54$25.96

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.79
Yahoo: $11.02

Results

Graham Number$13.99
Current Price$34.68
Margin of Safety-59.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.28%
Computed WACC: 9.28%
Cost of equity (Re)11.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.25 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.06%
Debt weight (D/V)16.94%

Results

Current Price$34.68
Implied Near-term FCF Growth14.1%
Historical Revenue Growth8.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-88.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$335.60M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.32

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$6.59
Current Price$34.68
Upside / Downside-81.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $493.40M
Current: 19.4×
Default: $1.10B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$34.74
Current Price$34.68
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$9.56B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.10B$1.10B$1.10B$1.10B$1.10B
15.4x$26.64$26.64$26.64$26.64$26.64
17.4x$30.69$30.69$30.69$30.69$30.69
19.4x$34.74$34.74$34.74$34.74$34.74
21.4x$38.79$38.79$38.79$38.79$38.79
23.4x$42.84$42.84$42.84$42.84$42.84