ESOA

ESOA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($15.28)
DCF$40137.48+262579.8%
Graham Number$3.27-78.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 21.6%
DDM$2.47-83.8%
EV/EBITDA$13.60-11.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $7.26M
Rev: 13.4% / EPS: 220.0%
Computed: 9.75%
Computed WACC: 9.75%
Cost of equity (Re)11.94%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.39 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.68%
Debt weight (D/V)18.32%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$34077.86
Current Price$15.28
Upside / Downside+222922.6%
Net Debt (used)$47.28M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term212.0%216.0%220.0%224.0%228.0%
7.0%$59205.06$63098.16$67193.41$71498.60$76021.68
8.0%$44976.89$47934.27$51045.20$54315.60$57751.52
9.0%$35366.10$37691.42$40137.48$42708.91$45410.48
10.0%$28506.85$30381.08$32352.62$34425.20$36602.67
11.0%$23413.02$24952.27$26571.42$28273.55$30061.82

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.13
Yahoo: $3.65

Results

Graham Number$3.27
Current Price$15.28
Margin of Safety-78.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.75%
Computed WACC: 9.75%
Cost of equity (Re)11.94%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.39 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.68%
Debt weight (D/V)18.32%

Results

Current Price$15.28
Implied Near-term FCF Growth24.0%
Historical Revenue Growth13.4%
Historical Earnings Growth220.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$7.26M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.12

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.47
Current Price$15.28
Upside / Downside-83.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $21.57M
Current: 14.0×
Default: $47.28M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.60
Current Price$15.28
Upside / Downside-11.0%
Implied EV$301.13M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.95B-$952.72M$47.28M$1.05B$2.05B
10.0x$116.16$62.57$8.98$-44.61$-98.20
12.0x$118.47$64.88$11.29$-42.30$-95.89
14.0x$120.79$67.19$13.60$-39.99$-93.58
16.0x$123.10$69.51$15.92$-37.67$-91.26
18.0x$125.41$71.82$18.23$-35.36$-88.95