ESP

ESP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($60.00)
DCF$348.04+480.1%
Graham Number$38.77-35.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.8%
DDM$20.60-65.7%
EV/EBITDA$60.00-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.21M
Rev: -10.8% / EPS: 39.4%
Computed: 5.48%
Computed WACC: 5.48%
Cost of equity (Re)5.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.21 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)100.00%
Debt weight (D/V)0.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$856.70
Current Price$60.00
Upside / Downside+1327.8%
Net Debt (used)-$43.17M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term31.4%35.4%39.4%43.4%47.4%
7.0%$405.76$467.60$537.11$614.97$701.92
8.0%$322.14$370.49$424.81$485.63$553.55
9.0%$264.97$304.09$348.04$397.24$452.14
10.0%$223.61$256.08$292.53$333.32$378.83
11.0%$192.45$219.91$250.71$285.18$323.63

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.45
Yahoo: $19.36

Results

Graham Number$38.77
Current Price$60.00
Margin of Safety-35.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.48%
Computed WACC: 5.48%
Cost of equity (Re)5.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.21 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)100.00%
Debt weight (D/V)0.00%

Results

Current Price$60.00
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-7.8%
Historical Revenue Growth-10.8%
Historical Earnings Growth39.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$8.21M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.60
Current Price$60.00
Upside / Downside-65.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $10.00M
Current: 13.4×
Default: -$43.17M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$60.00
Current Price$60.00
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$134.36M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.04B-$1.04B-$43.17M$956.83M$1.96B
9.4x$722.42$384.45$46.48$-291.49$-629.46
11.4x$729.18$391.21$53.24$-284.73$-622.70
13.4x$735.94$397.97$60.00$-277.97$-615.94
15.4x$742.70$404.73$66.76$-271.21$-609.18
17.4x$749.45$411.48$73.51$-264.46$-602.43