ETD

ETD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($22.57)
DCF$21.77-3.5%
Graham Number$26.97+19.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 5.6%
DDM$32.14+42.4%
EV/EBITDA$22.57-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $30.55M
Rev: -4.7% / EPS: -21.8%
Computed: 8.92%
Computed WACC: 8.92%
Cost of equity (Re)10.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.20%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.52%
Debt weight (D/V)17.48%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$22.04
Current Price$22.57
Upside / Downside-2.4%
Net Debt (used)-$17.69M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$21.95$26.25$31.25$37.04$43.70
8.0%$18.17$21.63$25.65$30.29$35.64
9.0%$15.55$18.43$21.77$25.63$30.06
10.0%$13.62$16.08$18.93$22.21$25.97
11.0%$12.15$14.29$16.76$19.60$22.86

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.72
Yahoo: $18.79

Results

Graham Number$26.97
Current Price$22.57
Margin of Safety+19.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.92%
Computed WACC: 8.92%
Cost of equity (Re)10.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.20%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.52%
Debt weight (D/V)17.48%

Results

Current Price$22.57
Implied Near-term FCF Growth5.4%
Historical Revenue Growth-4.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-21.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$30.55M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$32.14
Current Price$22.57
Upside / Downside+42.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $65.63M
Current: 8.5×
Default: -$17.69M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$22.57
Current Price$22.57
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$556.57M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.02B-$1.02B-$17.69M$982.31M$1.98B
4.5x$90.85$51.55$12.25$-27.05$-66.35
6.5x$96.01$56.71$17.41$-21.89$-61.19
8.5x$101.16$61.87$22.57$-16.73$-56.03
10.5x$106.32$67.02$27.73$-11.57$-50.87
12.5x$111.48$72.18$32.88$-6.41$-45.71