ETR

ETR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($106.63)
DCF$-231.03-316.7%
Graham Number$57.37-46.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$51.09-52.1%
EV/EBITDA$107.32+0.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$3.62B
Rev: 7.9% / EPS: -20.8%
Computed: 6.12%
Computed WACC: 6.12%
Cost of equity (Re)7.61%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.85%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)60.66%
Debt weight (D/V)39.34%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-369.84
Current Price$106.63
Upside / Downside-446.8%
Net Debt (used)$29.40B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-0.1%3.9%7.9%11.9%15.9%
7.0%$-235.49$-269.35$-308.61$-353.90$-405.90
8.0%$-204.30$-231.45$-262.89$-299.12$-340.67
9.0%$-182.73$-205.26$-231.30$-261.28$-295.64
10.0%$-166.92$-186.08$-208.19$-233.62$-262.72
11.0%$-154.85$-171.43$-190.56$-212.52$-237.64

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.91
Yahoo: $37.41

Results

Graham Number$57.37
Current Price$106.63
Margin of Safety-46.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.12%
Computed WACC: 6.12%
Cost of equity (Re)7.61%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.85%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)60.66%
Debt weight (D/V)39.34%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$106.63
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth7.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-20.8%
Base FCF (TTM)-$3.62B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$51.09
Current Price$106.63
Upside / Downside-52.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.58B
Current: 14.0×
Default: $29.40B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$107.32
Current Price$106.63
Upside / Downside+0.6%
Implied EV$78.01B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$15.40B$22.40B$29.40B$36.40B$43.40B
10.0x$88.96$73.51$58.05$42.60$27.15
12.0x$113.59$98.14$82.68$67.23$51.78
14.0x$138.22$122.77$107.32$91.86$76.41
16.0x$162.86$147.40$131.95$116.50$101.04
18.0x$187.49$172.03$156.58$141.13$125.68