EVC

EVC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($3.11)
DCF$-19.43-724.7%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$4.12+32.5%
EV/EBITDA$3.46+11.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$27.14M
Rev: 24.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 9.35%
Computed WACC: 9.35%
Cost of equity (Re)11.53%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.31 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.27%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)56.43%
Debt weight (D/V)43.57%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-18.37
Current Price$3.11
Upside / Downside-690.8%
Net Debt (used)$152.04M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term16.2%20.2%24.2%28.2%32.2%
7.0%$-21.34$-24.78$-28.70$-33.15$-38.18
8.0%$-17.39$-20.11$-23.20$-26.71$-30.67
9.0%$-14.68$-16.90$-19.43$-22.29$-25.52
10.0%$-12.71$-14.57$-16.69$-19.08$-21.78
11.0%$-11.22$-12.81$-14.61$-16.65$-18.96

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.29
Yahoo: $0.86

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$3.11
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.35%
Computed WACC: 9.35%
Cost of equity (Re)11.53%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.31 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.27%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)56.43%
Debt weight (D/V)43.57%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$3.11
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth24.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$27.14M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.12
Current Price$3.11
Upside / Downside+32.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $26.46M
Current: 16.4×
Default: $152.04M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$3.46
Current Price$3.11
Upside / Downside+11.1%
Implied EV$434.06M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.85B-$847.96M$152.04M$1.15B$2.15B
12.4x$26.66$14.41$2.16$-10.09$-22.34
14.4x$27.31$15.06$2.81$-9.44$-21.70
16.4x$27.96$15.71$3.46$-8.80$-21.05
18.4x$28.61$16.35$4.10$-8.15$-20.40
20.4x$29.25$17.00$4.75$-7.50$-19.75