EVRG

EVRG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($84.01)
DCF$-138.95-265.4%
Graham Number$60.46-28.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM$57.27-31.8%
EV/EBITDA$84.21+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$862.12M
Rev: 6.6% / EPS: 4.7%
Computed: 5.98%
Computed WACC: 5.98%
Cost of equity (Re)7.62%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.96%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)55.69%
Debt weight (D/V)44.31%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-203.55
Current Price$84.01
Upside / Downside-342.3%
Net Debt (used)$15.37B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.4%2.6%6.6%10.6%14.6%
7.0%$-140.23$-154.93$-172.01$-191.74$-214.42
8.0%$-126.96$-138.77$-152.46$-168.27$-186.42
9.0%$-117.77$-127.59$-138.95$-152.05$-167.08
10.0%$-111.03$-119.39$-129.05$-140.18$-152.93
11.0%$-105.88$-113.13$-121.50$-131.12$-142.14

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.66
Yahoo: $44.39

Results

Graham Number$60.46
Current Price$84.01
Margin of Safety-28.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.98%
Computed WACC: 5.98%
Cost of equity (Re)7.62%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.96%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)55.69%
Debt weight (D/V)44.31%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$84.01
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth6.6%
Historical Earnings Growth4.7%
Base FCF (TTM)-$862.12M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.78

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$57.27
Current Price$84.01
Upside / Downside-31.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.74B
Current: 12.7×
Default: $15.37B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$84.21
Current Price$84.01
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$34.77B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$7.37B$11.37B$15.37B$19.37B$23.37B
8.7x$71.34$53.97$36.60$19.23$1.86
10.7x$95.15$77.78$60.41$43.04$25.67
12.7x$118.95$101.58$84.21$66.84$49.47
14.7x$142.76$125.39$108.02$90.65$73.28
16.7x$166.57$149.20$131.83$114.46$97.09