EXEL

EXEL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($41.03)
DCF$2465.98+5910.2%
Graham Number$22.69-44.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 2.9%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$41.03-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $631.16M
Rev: 5.6% / EPS: 84.2%
Computed: 6.43%
Computed WACC: 6.43%
Cost of equity (Re)6.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.21%
Debt weight (D/V)1.79%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4750.44
Current Price$41.03
Upside / Downside+11478.0%
Net Debt (used)-$858.17M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term76.2%80.2%84.2%88.2%92.2%
7.0%$3214.07$3593.60$4008.27$4460.45$4952.64
8.0%$2478.44$2770.63$3089.85$3437.94$3816.80
9.0%$1978.70$2211.58$2465.98$2743.36$3045.25
10.0%$1619.79$1810.08$2017.94$2244.55$2491.18
11.0%$1351.44$1509.89$1682.96$1871.64$2076.96

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.78
Yahoo: $8.23

Results

Graham Number$22.69
Current Price$41.03
Margin of Safety-44.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.43%
Computed WACC: 6.43%
Cost of equity (Re)6.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.21%
Debt weight (D/V)1.79%

Results

Current Price$41.03
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-4.8%
Historical Revenue Growth5.6%
Historical Earnings Growth84.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$631.16M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$41.03
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $921.76M
Current: 10.6×
Default: -$858.17M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$41.03
Current Price$41.03
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$9.80B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.86B-$1.86B-$858.17M$141.83M$1.14B
6.6x$34.53$30.68$26.83$22.98$19.13
8.6x$41.63$37.78$33.93$30.08$26.23
10.6x$48.73$44.88$41.03$37.18$33.33
12.6x$55.83$51.98$48.13$44.28$40.43
14.6x$62.93$59.08$55.23$51.38$47.52