EXP

EXP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($211.45)
DCF$43.30-79.5%
Graham Number$118.75-43.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 23.7%
DDM$20.60-90.3%
EV/EBITDA$211.44-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $156.24M
Rev: -0.4% / EPS: -9.6%
Computed: 9.83%
Computed WACC: 9.83%
Cost of equity (Re)11.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.35 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.45%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.01%
Debt weight (D/V)20.99%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$33.31
Current Price$211.45
Upside / Downside-84.2%
Net Debt (used)$1.38B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$44.05$61.85$82.56$106.53$134.13
8.0%$28.39$42.72$59.36$78.60$100.72
9.0%$17.54$29.47$43.30$59.28$77.63
10.0%$9.57$19.75$31.54$45.12$60.72
11.0%$3.47$12.32$22.54$34.31$47.81

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $13.24
Yahoo: $47.33

Results

Graham Number$118.75
Current Price$211.45
Margin of Safety-43.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.83%
Computed WACC: 9.83%
Cost of equity (Re)11.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.35 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.45%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.01%
Debt weight (D/V)20.99%

Results

Current Price$211.45
Implied Near-term FCF Growth26.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-0.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-9.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$156.24M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.60
Current Price$211.45
Upside / Downside-90.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $731.61M
Current: 11.0×
Default: $1.38B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$211.44
Current Price$211.45
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$8.03B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.38B$1.38B$1.38B$1.38B$1.38B
7.0x$118.34$118.34$118.34$118.34$118.34
9.0x$164.89$164.89$164.89$164.89$164.89
11.0x$211.44$211.44$211.44$211.44$211.44
13.0x$258.00$258.00$258.00$258.00$258.00
15.0x$304.55$304.55$304.55$304.55$304.55