FCBC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($40.18)
DCF	$27.87	-30.6%
Graham Number	$40.35	+0.4%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$25.54	-36.4%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 7.8% / EPS: -4.3%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 7.52%

Computed WACC: 7.52%

Cost of equity (Re)7.53%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.59 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.84%

Debt weight (D/V)0.16%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$27.87

Current Price$40.18

Upside / Downside-30.6%

Net Debt (used)-$511.03M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-0.2%	3.8%	7.8%	11.8%	15.8%
7.0%	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87
8.0%	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87
9.0%	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87
10.0%	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87
11.0%	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87	$27.87

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $2.65

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $27.30

Results

Graham Number$40.35

Current Price$40.18

Margin of Safety+0.4%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 7.52%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 7.52%

Cost of equity (Re)7.53%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.59 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.84%

Debt weight (D/V)0.16%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$40.18

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth7.8%

Historical Earnings Growth-4.3%

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.24

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$25.54

Current Price$40.18

Upside / Downside-36.4%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$511.03M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$27.87

Current Price$40.18

Upside / Downside-30.6%

Implied EV$0

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