FCN

FCN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($163.98)
DCF$497.90+203.6%
Graham Number$100.29-38.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 10.4%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$159.37-2.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $224.84M
Rev: 10.7% / EPS: 29.3%
Computed: 3.97%
Computed WACC: 3.97%
Cost of equity (Re)4.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.03 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.44%
Debt weight (D/V)10.56%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2665.63
Current Price$163.98
Upside / Downside+1525.6%
Net Debt (used)$361.63M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term21.3%25.3%29.3%33.3%37.3%
7.0%$564.00$661.96$773.01$898.46$1039.65
8.0%$444.88$521.93$609.24$707.80$818.70
9.0%$363.23$425.96$497.00$577.18$667.34
10.0%$303.99$356.35$415.62$482.47$557.62
11.0%$259.22$303.75$354.14$410.94$474.76

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.81
Yahoo: $57.24

Results

Graham Number$100.29
Current Price$163.98
Margin of Safety-38.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.97%
Computed WACC: 3.97%
Cost of equity (Re)4.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.03 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.44%
Debt weight (D/V)10.56%

Results

Current Price$163.98
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-11.4%
Historical Revenue Growth10.7%
Historical Earnings Growth29.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$224.84M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$163.98
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $463.62M
Current: 11.4×
Default: $361.63M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$159.37
Current Price$163.98
Upside / Downside-2.8%
Implied EV$5.28B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.64B-$638.37M$361.63M$1.36B$2.36B
7.4x$164.09$131.70$99.31$66.92$34.54
9.4x$194.12$161.73$129.34$96.95$64.57
11.4x$224.15$191.76$159.37$126.99$94.60
13.4x$254.18$221.79$189.40$157.02$124.63
15.4x$284.21$251.82$219.43$187.05$154.66