FCO

FCO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($3.04)
DCF$68.65+2158.3%
Graham Number$4.67+53.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.3%
DDM$17.30+469.2%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.27M
Rev: -17.1% / EPS: 64.4%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$68.65
Current Price$3.04
Upside / Downside+2158.3%
Net Debt (used)$16.66M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term56.4%60.4%64.4%68.4%72.4%
7.0%$86.45$98.15$111.06$125.29$140.93
8.0%$66.79$75.84$85.83$96.84$108.93
9.0%$53.40$60.65$68.65$77.47$87.16
10.0%$43.76$49.71$56.29$63.53$71.48
11.0%$36.53$41.52$47.02$53.08$59.73

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.32
Yahoo: $3.03

Results

Graham Number$4.67
Current Price$3.04
Margin of Safety+53.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$3.04
Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-17.1%
Historical Earnings Growth64.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$2.27M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.84

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$17.30
Current Price$3.04
Upside / Downside+469.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $16.66M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-1.24
Current Price$3.04
Upside / Downside-140.7%
Implied EV$0