FCPT

FCPT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($25.67)
DCF$21.23-17.3%
Graham Number$19.30-24.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 12.9%
DDM$30.28+18.0%
EV/EBITDA$25.69+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $143.83M
Rev: 10.7% / EPS: 2.7%
Computed: 7.28%
Computed WACC: 7.28%
Cost of equity (Re)8.90%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.84 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.43%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.87%
Debt weight (D/V)30.13%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$33.54
Current Price$25.67
Upside / Downside+30.7%
Net Debt (used)$1.19B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.7%6.7%10.7%14.7%18.7%
7.0%$22.47$28.96$36.46$45.08$54.96
8.0%$16.24$21.42$27.41$34.29$42.17
9.0%$11.93$16.22$21.17$26.85$33.34
10.0%$8.78$12.42$16.61$21.42$26.90
11.0%$6.38$9.53$13.14$17.28$22.00

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.10
Yahoo: $15.04

Results

Graham Number$19.30
Current Price$25.67
Margin of Safety-24.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.28%
Computed WACC: 7.28%
Cost of equity (Re)8.90%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.84 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.43%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.87%
Debt weight (D/V)30.13%

Results

Current Price$25.67
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.5%
Historical Revenue Growth10.7%
Historical Earnings Growth2.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$143.83M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.47

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$30.28
Current Price$25.67
Upside / Downside+18.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $224.46M
Current: 17.9×
Default: $1.19B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$25.69
Current Price$25.67
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$4.01B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.19B$1.19B$1.19B$1.19B$1.19B
13.9x$17.51$17.51$17.51$17.51$17.51
15.9x$21.60$21.60$21.60$21.60$21.60
17.9x$25.69$25.69$25.69$25.69$25.69
19.9x$29.78$29.78$29.78$29.78$29.78
21.9x$33.87$33.87$33.87$33.87$33.87