FCT

FCT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($9.78)
DCF$4.89-50.0%
Graham Number$12.31+25.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.7%
DDM$23.90+144.3%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $9.50M
Rev: -2.6% / EPS: -15.5%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4.89
Current Price$9.78
Upside / Downside-50.0%
Net Debt (used)$39.90M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$4.94$6.25$7.78$9.54$11.57
8.0%$3.79$4.84$6.07$7.48$9.11
9.0%$2.99$3.87$4.89$6.06$7.41
10.0%$2.40$3.15$4.02$5.02$6.17
11.0%$1.96$2.61$3.36$4.22$5.22

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.65
Yahoo: $10.36

Results

Graham Number$12.31
Current Price$9.78
Margin of Safety+25.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$9.78
Implied Near-term FCF Growth14.7%
Historical Revenue Growth-2.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-15.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$9.50M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.16

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$23.90
Current Price$9.78
Upside / Downside+144.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $39.90M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-1.54
Current Price$9.78
Upside / Downside-115.7%
Implied EV$0