FDP

FDP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($42.66)
DCF$662.44+1452.8%
Graham Number$42.43-0.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.2%
DDM$24.72-42.1%
EV/EBITDA$42.96+0.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $110.24M
Rev: 0.6% / EPS: 56.7%
Computed: 5.43%
Computed WACC: 5.43%
Cost of equity (Re)5.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.24 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.27%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)85.38%
Debt weight (D/V)14.62%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1771.24
Current Price$42.66
Upside / Downside+4052.0%
Net Debt (used)$313.30M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term48.7%52.7%56.7%60.7%64.7%
7.0%$816.38$931.79$1059.87$1201.62$1358.12
8.0%$633.92$723.47$822.83$932.78$1054.15
9.0%$509.57$581.50$661.29$749.58$847.02
10.0%$419.94$479.18$544.88$617.56$697.76
11.0%$352.67$402.39$457.51$518.49$585.76

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.88
Yahoo: $42.56

Results

Graham Number$42.43
Current Price$42.66
Margin of Safety-0.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.43%
Computed WACC: 5.43%
Cost of equity (Re)5.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.24 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.27%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)85.38%
Debt weight (D/V)14.62%

Results

Current Price$42.66
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-4.2%
Historical Revenue Growth0.6%
Historical Earnings Growth56.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$110.24M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.72
Current Price$42.66
Upside / Downside-42.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $254.00M
Current: 9.2×
Default: $313.30M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$42.96
Current Price$42.66
Upside / Downside+0.7%
Implied EV$2.35B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.69B-$686.70M$313.30M$1.31B$2.31B
5.2x$63.72$42.62$21.51$0.41$-20.69
7.2x$74.44$53.34$32.24$11.13$-9.97
9.2x$85.17$64.06$42.96$21.85$0.75
11.2x$95.89$74.78$53.68$32.57$11.47
13.2x$106.61$85.50$64.40$43.29$22.19