FFIV

FFIV — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($278.00)
DCF$298.42+7.3%
Graham Number$130.02-53.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.6%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$271.36-2.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $681.56M
Rev: 7.3% / EPS: 9.9%
Computed: 9.68%
Computed WACC: 9.68%
Cost of equity (Re)9.84%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.33%
Debt weight (D/V)1.67%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$270.50
Current Price$278.00
Upside / Downside-2.7%
Net Debt (used)-$932.02M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.9%5.9%9.9%13.9%17.9%
7.0%$309.14$366.44$432.73$509.03$596.47
8.0%$254.74$300.58$353.54$414.45$484.17
9.0%$217.15$255.10$298.89$349.19$406.72
10.0%$189.65$221.84$258.95$301.52$350.17
11.0%$168.67$196.49$228.51$265.22$307.12

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $12.08
Yahoo: $62.20

Results

Graham Number$130.02
Current Price$278.00
Margin of Safety-53.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.68%
Computed WACC: 9.68%
Cost of equity (Re)9.84%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.33%
Debt weight (D/V)1.67%

Results

Current Price$278.00
Implied Near-term FCF Growth10.4%
Historical Revenue Growth7.3%
Historical Earnings Growth9.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$681.56M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$278.00
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $883.52M
Current: 16.3×
Default: -$932.02M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$271.36
Current Price$278.00
Upside / Downside-2.4%
Implied EV$14.40B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.93B-$1.93B-$932.02M$67.98M$1.07B
12.3x$244.21$226.52$208.83$191.14$173.44
14.3x$275.48$257.79$240.09$222.40$204.71
16.3x$306.74$289.05$271.36$253.66$235.97
18.3x$338.01$320.31$302.62$284.93$267.24
20.3x$369.27$351.58$333.89$316.19$298.50