FG

FG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($22.65)
DCF$579.63+2459.1%
Graham Number$52.36+131.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM$20.60-9.1%
EV/EBITDA$23.49+3.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.76B
Rev: 13.2% / EPS: -64.2%
Computed: 9.76%
Computed WACC: 9.76%
Cost of equity (Re)12.61%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.51 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.44%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)57.60%
Debt weight (D/V)42.40%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$513.77
Current Price$22.65
Upside / Downside+2168.3%
Net Debt (used)-$344.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term5.2%9.2%13.2%17.2%21.2%
7.0%$610.77$727.15$861.28$1015.13$1190.84
8.0%$494.95$587.73$694.54$816.95$956.63
9.0%$415.07$491.61$579.63$680.42$795.33
10.0%$356.72$421.44$495.79$580.84$677.73
11.0%$312.30$368.05$432.02$505.13$588.35

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.44
Yahoo: $35.42

Results

Graham Number$52.36
Current Price$22.65
Margin of Safety+131.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.76%
Computed WACC: 9.76%
Cost of equity (Re)12.61%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.51 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.44%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)57.60%
Debt weight (D/V)42.40%

Results

Current Price$22.65
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth13.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-64.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$2.76B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.60
Current Price$22.65
Upside / Downside-9.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $576.00M
Current: 4.9×
Default: -$344.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$23.49
Current Price$22.65
Upside / Downside+3.7%
Implied EV$2.84B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.34B-$1.34B-$344.00M$656.00M$1.66B
0.9x$21.24$13.87$6.50$-0.88$-8.25
2.9x$29.74$22.36$14.99$7.62$0.24
4.9x$38.23$30.86$23.49$16.11$8.74
6.9x$46.73$39.35$31.98$24.61$17.23
8.9x$55.22$47.85$40.48$33.10$25.73