FGBI

FGBI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($8.63)
DCF$41.78+384.1%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$0.82-90.5%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 3.4% / EPS: 255.4%
Computed: 2.56%
Computed WACC: 2.56%
Cost of equity (Re)6.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.32 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.27%
Debt weight (D/V)57.73%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$41.78
Current Price$8.63
Upside / Downside+384.1%
Net Debt (used)-$659.82M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term247.4%251.4%255.4%259.4%263.4%
7.0%$41.78$41.78$41.78$41.78$41.78
8.0%$41.78$41.78$41.78$41.78$41.78
9.0%$41.78$41.78$41.78$41.78$41.78
10.0%$41.78$41.78$41.78$41.78$41.78
11.0%$41.78$41.78$41.78$41.78$41.78

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-4.17
Yahoo: $12.23

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$8.63
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.56%
Computed WACC: 2.56%
Cost of equity (Re)6.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.32 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.27%
Debt weight (D/V)57.73%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$8.63
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth3.4%
Historical Earnings Growth255.4%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.04

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$0.82
Current Price$8.63
Upside / Downside-90.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: -$659.82M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$41.78
Current Price$8.63
Upside / Downside+384.1%
Implied EV$0