FHI

FHI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($56.97)
DCF$441.04+674.2%
Graham Number$43.53-23.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -3.2%
DDM$28.02-50.8%
EV/EBITDA$53.23-6.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $384.16M
Rev: 13.7% / EPS: 33.6%
Computed: 7.52%
Computed WACC: 7.52%
Cost of equity (Re)8.00%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.67 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.66%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.63%
Debt weight (D/V)9.37%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$601.23
Current Price$56.97
Upside / Downside+955.4%
Net Debt (used)-$267.29M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term25.6%29.6%33.6%37.6%41.6%
7.0%$506.70$589.68$683.39$788.86$907.16
8.0%$400.96$466.05$539.52$622.17$714.85
9.0%$328.57$381.41$441.04$508.09$583.25
10.0%$276.12$320.10$369.72$425.48$487.97
11.0%$236.53$273.84$315.91$363.17$416.11

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.13
Yahoo: $16.42

Results

Graham Number$43.53
Current Price$56.97
Margin of Safety-23.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.52%
Computed WACC: 7.52%
Cost of equity (Re)8.00%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.67 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.66%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.63%
Debt weight (D/V)9.37%

Results

Current Price$56.97
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-7.0%
Historical Revenue Growth13.7%
Historical Earnings Growth33.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$384.16M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.36

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.02
Current Price$56.97
Upside / Downside-50.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $536.14M
Current: 7.2×
Default: -$267.29M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$53.23
Current Price$56.97
Upside / Downside-6.6%
Implied EV$3.86B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.27B-$1.27B-$267.29M$732.71M$1.73B
3.2x$51.36$38.46$25.57$12.67$-0.23
5.2x$65.19$52.29$39.40$26.50$13.60
7.2x$79.02$66.12$53.23$40.33$27.43
9.2x$92.85$79.95$67.05$54.16$41.26
11.2x$106.68$93.78$80.88$67.99$55.09