FIZZ

FIZZ — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($37.43)
DCF$22.73-39.3%
Graham Number$16.31-56.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$36.85-1.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $109.64M
Rev: -1.0% / EPS: 0.5%
Computed: 8.10%
Computed WACC: 8.10%
Cost of equity (Re)8.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.72 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.15%
Debt weight (D/V)1.85%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$26.07
Current Price$37.43
Upside / Downside-30.3%
Net Debt (used)-$203.12M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$22.90$27.10$31.98$37.62$44.12
8.0%$19.21$22.59$26.51$31.04$36.25
9.0%$16.66$19.47$22.73$26.49$30.81
10.0%$14.78$17.18$19.96$23.16$26.83
11.0%$13.34$15.43$17.84$20.61$23.79

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.99
Yahoo: $5.94

Results

Graham Number$16.31
Current Price$37.43
Margin of Safety-56.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.10%
Computed WACC: 8.10%
Cost of equity (Re)8.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.72 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.15%
Debt weight (D/V)1.85%

Results

Current Price$37.43
Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.5%
Historical Revenue Growth-1.0%
Historical Earnings Growth0.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$109.64M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$37.43
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $258.16M
Current: 12.6×
Default: -$203.12M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$36.85
Current Price$37.43
Upside / Downside-1.6%
Implied EV$3.25B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.20B-$1.20B-$203.12M$796.88M$1.80B
8.6x$47.18$36.50$25.82$15.14$4.46
10.6x$52.69$42.01$31.33$20.65$9.97
12.6x$58.21$47.53$36.85$26.17$15.49
14.6x$63.72$53.04$42.36$31.68$21.00
16.6x$69.23$58.55$47.87$37.19$26.51