FOLD

FOLD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($14.36)
DCF$7.36-48.7%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 35.4%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$14.38+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $47.84M
Rev: 23.7% / EPS: -95.5%
Computed: 6.06%
Computed WACC: 6.06%
Cost of equity (Re)6.66%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.43 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.06%
Debt weight (D/V)8.94%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$15.03
Current Price$14.36
Upside / Downside+4.7%
Net Debt (used)$148.83M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term15.7%19.7%23.7%27.7%31.7%
7.0%$8.18$9.71$11.46$13.45$15.69
8.0%$6.43$7.64$9.02$10.59$12.36
9.0%$5.23$6.22$7.35$8.63$10.07
10.0%$4.36$5.19$6.13$7.20$8.41
11.0%$3.70$4.40$5.21$6.12$7.15

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.04
Yahoo: $0.88

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$14.36
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.06%
Computed WACC: 6.06%
Cost of equity (Re)6.66%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.43 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.06%
Debt weight (D/V)8.94%

Results

Current Price$14.36
Implied Near-term FCF Growth22.9%
Historical Revenue Growth23.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-95.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$47.84M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$14.36
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $41.95M
Current: 111.1×
Default: $148.83M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$14.38
Current Price$14.36
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$4.66B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.85B-$851.17M$148.83M$1.15B$2.15B
107.1x$20.22$17.04$13.85$10.66$7.47
109.1x$20.49$17.30$14.12$10.93$7.74
111.1x$20.76$17.57$14.38$11.20$8.01
113.1x$21.03$17.84$14.65$11.46$8.28
115.1x$21.29$18.11$14.92$11.73$8.54