FPI

FPI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($13.04)
DCF$-22.49-272.5%
Graham Number$17.45+33.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$7.42-43.1%
EV/EBITDA$14.91+14.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$46.58M
Rev: -2.9% / EPS: -73.1%
Computed: 6.83%
Computed WACC: 6.83%
Cost of equity (Re)8.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.80 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.44%
Debt weight (D/V)21.56%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-32.12
Current Price$13.04
Upside / Downside-346.3%
Net Debt (used)$151.58M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-22.65$-26.52$-31.03$-36.24$-42.24
8.0%$-19.25$-22.36$-25.98$-30.16$-34.98
9.0%$-16.89$-19.48$-22.49$-25.96$-29.95
10.0%$-15.16$-17.37$-19.93$-22.89$-26.28
11.0%$-13.83$-15.75$-17.98$-20.54$-23.47

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.26
Yahoo: $10.73

Results

Graham Number$17.45
Current Price$13.04
Margin of Safety+33.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.83%
Computed WACC: 6.83%
Cost of equity (Re)8.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.80 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.44%
Debt weight (D/V)21.56%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$13.04
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-2.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-73.1%
Base FCF (TTM)-$46.58M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.36

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$7.42
Current Price$13.04
Upside / Downside-43.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $27.42M
Current: 29.0×
Default: $151.58M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$14.91
Current Price$13.04
Upside / Downside+14.3%
Implied EV$794.00M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.85B-$848.42M$151.58M$1.15B$2.15B
25.0x$58.77$35.56$12.36$-10.84$-34.04
27.0x$60.04$36.84$13.63$-9.57$-32.77
29.0x$61.31$38.11$14.91$-8.30$-31.50
31.0x$62.58$39.38$16.18$-7.02$-30.23
33.0x$63.86$40.65$17.45$-5.75$-28.96